본문 바로가기 주메뉴 바로가기
kiep logo

Contents

Citation

Citation
No Title

Article View

East Asian Economic Review Vol. 5, No. 1, 2001. pp. 31-64.

DOI https://dx.doi.org/10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2001.5.1.76

Number of citation : 0

View
486

Download
128

PDF PPT Twitter Facebook

Abstract

Because of the increased possibility of China’s accession to the WTO due to the settlement of negotiations with the U.S. and EU, the world is interested in opening China’s domestic market and taking advantage of the opportunities. Existing papers about China’s entry into the WTO generally analyze the impact on China and the world economy based on his/her assumption of a hypothetical tariff reduction scenario. However, this paper systematically analyzes by sector and region the tariff reduction structures of 5,685 tariff lines that China will actually reduce up until 2005. Based on this, the author employs a computational general equilibrium model in order to estimate the impact of China’s trade liberalization on the economies of Northeast Asia and the world economy. According to the results, China’s trade liberalization will bring the greatest benefit to China itself and substantial export expansion for Korea and Japan. This paper also states that if these three countries promote economic cooperation using China’s accession to the WTO as momentum, it will be necessary to think economic cooperation in the fiber and clothing industries, which are quite effectively promoting intra-regional trade and absorbing workers left unemployed by structural adjustments in China.

JEL classification: F12, F13, F14, F17

Keywords

China, WTO, Northeast Asia, Industrial cooperation, Japan, Korea, CGE Model

Language

Korean

References

  1. Bach, Christian., Martin, Will. and Jennifer A. Stevens. 1996. "China and the WTO: Tariff Offers, Exemptions and Welfare Implications," Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, vol. 132, no. 3, pp. 409-431.
  2. Cheong, I. K. 2000. “A Study on Maximization of Synergy Effect of Chinese Accession to the WTO,” Unpublished Internal Report. Seoul: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy. (in Korean)
  3. Economist. 1996. World Trade: All Free Traders Now? (December 7)
  4. Economist. 2000. A Survey of China: Now Comes the Hard Part. (April 8)
  5. Fang, Mingtai and Yu-xin Zheng. 2000. China's Trade Liberalization for WTO Accession and Its Effects on China: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis. Mimeo. Peking: Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
  6. Feng, Lei and Yiping Huang. 1997. "China's Trade Liberalization and Structural Adjustments for the World Economy," Asian Economic Journal, vol. 11, no. 3, pp. 283-297.
  7. Geest, Willem Van Der. 1998. "Bring China into the Concert of Nations," Journal of World Trade, vol. 32, no. 3, pp. 99-115.
  8. Harris, Stuart. 1997. "The WTO and APEC: What role for China?" Australian National University AJRC Working Paper no. 274.
  9. Kim, I. S. 1995. “A Study on the Effect of China's Entry into WTO on Global Trade Environment,” International Trade Law, vol. 8, no. 4, pp. 6-37. (in Korean)
  10. Kim, I. S. 1999. “China's Accession into WTO and Its Multi-Faceted Impact on East Asia and the Korean Economy,” Policy Analyses 99-09, Seoul: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy. (in Korean)
  11. Lardy, Nicholas. 1996. "China and the WTO," Brookings Policy Breifing no. 10. Wahsnigton D.C.: Brookings Institute.
  12. Lejour, Arijan. 2000. "China and the WTO: The Impact on China and the World Economy," Paper presented at the Third Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis. Melbourne. Australia. (June 27-30)
  13. Li, Shangtong and Fan Zhai. 2000. "The Impact of Accession to WTO on China's Economy," China: Development Research Center.
  14. Li, Shantong and Xulin Zhaipan. 1999. “Analysis on the Impacts of the WTO Accession on China,” In China Development Studies, Beijing: China Development Press, pp. 358-394. (in Chinese)
  15. McDougall, R. A., Elbehri, A. and T. P. Troung eds. 1998. Global Trade, Assistance and Protection: The GTAP 4 Data Base. Purdue University. W. Lafayette. US.: Center for Global Trade Analysis.
  16. Oh, W. T. and I. K. Cheong. 1999. “A Study on the Effect of China's Entry into WTO on Korean Trade Patterns: Focused on the Effect of Chinese Tariffs Concession,” Journal of Asia-Pacific Affairs, vol. 1, pp. 139-164. (in Korean)
  17. Oh, Y. S. 1999. The impact of China’s Entry into WTO on the Northeast Asian Trade and the Korean Response, Journal of northeast Asian economic studies, vol. 10, no. 2, pp. 1-31. (in Korean)
  18. Reuter. 2001. WTO's Moore Sees China Entry This Year. (April 23)
  19. Shu, H. J. 1995. “Process and Issues of Chinese Entrance into GATT and WTO,” Chinese Studies, vol. 9, no. 4, pp. 7-24. (in Korean)
  20. Sun, Lin. and Mitsuo Ezaki. 2000. "Trade Liberalization and the Chinese Economy," Business Journal of PAPAIOS, vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 4-15. (in Japanese)
  21. USTR. 2001. "US and China Reach Consensus on China's Accession to WTO," (www.ustr.gov) CrossRef
  22. Walmsley, Terrie L. and Thomas W. Hertel. 2000. "China's Accession to the WTO: Timing is Everything," Mimeo. Center for Global Trade Analysis. Purdue University.
  23. Wang, Zhi. 1997. "China and Taiwan Access to the World Trade Organization: Implications for US Agricultural and Trade," Agricultural Trade, vol. 17, pp. 239-264.
  24. Wang, Zhi. and Zhai Fan. 1998. "Tariff Reduction, Tax Replacement, and Implications for Income Distribution in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, vol. 26, pp. 358-387.
  25. Wei, Zhao. 1998. "China's WTO Accession: Commitments and Prospects," Journal of World Trade, vol. 32, no. 3, pp. 51-75.
  26. Zhang, X. and P. Warr. 1995. "China's Enrty to GATT: A General Equilibrium Analysis of Tariff Reduction," In China and Aisa Trade Policy, volume Ⅲ: China and the World Trading System. Pacific Economic Papers, 250. (December): 3.1-3.19.
  27. Yang, Shengming. 1997. "The WTO and China's Trade Strategies in the 1990s: A Role for China?" Australian National Unicersity AJRC Working Paper no. 271.