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Citation

Citation
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Abstract

Using an international input-output table, our study analyzes the interdependence among four countries (i.e. Korea, China, Japan and the US) using empirical trade and industry data. While both China and Korea exhibit high backward linkage effects, China's - as well as Japan's - forward linkage effects are still higher than Korea's. These results imply that interdependence among the three countries in Northeast Asia is increasing. Moreover, Korea and China's dependence on Japan and the US has been augmented, whereby economic cooperation is increasingly rising among the three Northeast Asian countries (Korea, China and Japan) realizing each country's comparative advantages. However, these countries need to prepare themselves for long-term negative aspects of closer cooperation, especially the negative impact of economic fluctuations in counterpart countries. In this context, Korea and China need to concentrate development of three key industries: the materials industry, parts industry, and high-technology industry. Furthermore, these countries need to establish an independent industrial system by diversifying trading partners, develop the service industry to support the manufacturing industry, and stimulate domestic demand. Finally, a sound economy structure needs to be established through improvement of productivity.

JEL classification: F10, F18, F21

Keywords

Input-Output Model, International Input-Output Table, Inter-country Dependency

Language

Korean

References

  1. Korea Trade Statistics, Available at http://stat.kita.net CrossRef
  2. The Bank of Korea. 1996. “An Analysis of the Korean-Japan International Input-Output Table for 1990,” Statistical Analysis 96-12, Seoul: The Bank of Korea. (in Korean)
  3. The Bank of Korea. 1998. “Interregional Trade Structure and Interdependence in East Asia: An International Input-Output Analysis,” Reference Materials 98-8, Seoul: The Bank of Korea. (in Korean)
  4. The Bank of Korea. 2001. “An Analysis on the Interdependence among Asia-Pacific Countries,” Quarterly National accounts, vol. 2001, no. 3. pp. 18-47. (in Korean)
  5. The Bank of Korea. 2004. Input-Output Tables. Seoul: The Bank of Korea. (in Korean)
  6. Moon, T. W. and S. Takeda. 1994. “International Relations of the Asia-Pacific Region: An Analysis of International Input-Output Table,” Innovation & I-O Technology, vol. 5, no. 3. pp. 37-52. (in Japanese)
  7. Brucker, Sharon M., Hastings, Steven E., and William R. Latham III. 1998. "The Variation of Estimated Impacts from Five Regional Input-Output Models," International Regional Science Review, vol. 13, pp. 119-139.
  8. Isard, W., Azis, I. J., Drennan, M. P., Miller, R. E., Saltzman, S. and E. Thorbecke. 1998. Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis.
  9. Lee, Hong Bae. 2002. "Changes in Industrial Interdependency between Japan and Korea since 1995: An Application of International Input-Output Analysis," KIEP Working Paper 02-18.