Contents
Citation
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East Asian Economic Review Vol. 13, No. 1, 2009. pp. 113-132.
DOI https://dx.doi.org/10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2009.13.1.198
Number of citation : 0|
Sang Hoon Kang |
Gyeongsang National University;Pusan National University |
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Seong-Min Yoon |
This study has attempted to seek a volatility forecasting model that can reflect sufficiently the long memory characteristic in the volatility of four Eastern European emerging stock markets, naThis study has attempted to seek a volatility forecasting model that can reflect sufficiently the long memory characteristic in the volatility of four Eastern European emerging stock markets, namely, Hungary, Poland, Russia, and Slovakia. From the results of our empirical analysis, we found that the FIGARCH model is better equipped to capture the long memory property in the volatility of these markets than the GARCH and IGARCH models. More importantly, the FIGARCH model is found to provide superior performance in one-day-ahead volatility forecasts. Thus, this study recommends researchers, portfolio managers, and traders to use the long memory FIGARCH model in analyzing and forecasting the volatility dynamics of Eastern European emerging markets.
JEL classification: C22, C52, G12
Eastern European, Emerging Market, Volatility, Long Memory, FIGARCH, DM Test
Korean