본문 바로가기 주메뉴 바로가기
kiep logo

Contents

Citation

Abstract

This paper presents the necessary conditions for equilibrium indeterminacy in a small open economy under partial capital mobility. In order to have meaningful transitional dynamics of consumption and capital, I assume that the economy uses two kinds of capital as inputs - traded capital and non-traded capital - and households can borrow from foreigners only with traded capital as collateral. Non-traded capital must be accumulated out of domestic savings, even with the free access to the world capital market. Benabib and Farmer (1994) argue that a representative agent model such as the standard RBC model requires a high degree of increasing returns to scale to cause indeterminacy in equilibrium path. Unlike the closed economy model of Benabib and Farmer (1994), equilibrium indeterminacy is shown to arise with a much weaker degree of increasing returns to scale in an open economy environment. This result implies that opening the capital market makes the small economy more vulnerable to the ‘animal spirits’ of investors. The fact that only the net returns to traded capital equal the world interest rate at all points in time plays an important role in determining the results.

JEL classification: F32, F43

Keywords

Partial Capital Mobility, Equilibrium Indeterminacy, Business Fluctuations

Language

English

References

  1. Ahmed, Shaghil, 1986. "Temporary and Permanent Government Spending in an Open Economy, Some Evidence for the United Kingdom," Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 17, pp. 197-224. CrossRef
  2. Backus, D., Kehoe, P., and F. Kydland. 1992. "International Business Cycles," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 100, pp. 745-775. CrossRef
  3. Backus, D. 1995. "International Business Cycles: Theory and Evidence," Chapter 11. Frontiers of Business Cycle Research, edited by T. Cooley, pp. 331-356.
  4. Bartelsman, E. J., Caballero, R. J., and R. K. Lyons. 1994. "Customer-and Supplier-Driven Externalities," American Economic Review, vol. 84, pp. 1075-1084.
  5. Basu, S. and J. Fernald. 1997. "Returns to Scale in US Production, Estimates and Implications," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 105, pp. 249-283. CrossRef
  6. Baxter, M. and R. King. 1990. "Productive Externalities and Cyclical Volatility," Working Paper no. 245. University of Rochester.
  7. Barro, R. J. and X. Sala-i-Martin. 1995. Economic Growth. McGraw-Hill.
  8. Barro, R. J., Mankiw, N. G., and X. Sala-i-Martin, 1995. "Capital Mobility in Neoclassical Models of Growth," American Economic Review, vol. 85, pp. 103-115.
  9. Benabib, J. and K. Nishimura. 1998. "Indeterminacy and Sunspots with Constant Returns," Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 81, pp. 58-96. CrossRef
  10. Benabib, J. and R. E. Farmer. 1994. "Indeterminacy and Increasing Returns," Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 63, pp. 19-41. CrossRef
  11. Benabib, J. 1996. "Indeterminacy and Sector Specific Externalities," Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 37, pp. 397-419. CrossRef
  12. Benabib, J. 2000. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 3. pp. 523-550.
  13. Benabib, J. and R. Perli, 1994. "Uniqueness and Indeterminacy, On the Dynamics of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 63, pp. 113-142. CrossRef
  14. Benabib, J., Meng, Q., and K. Nishimura. 2000. "Indeterminacy under Constant Returns to Scale in Multisector Economies," Econometrica, vol. 68, pp. 1541-1548.
  15. Bennett, R. L. and R. E. Farmer. 2000. "Indeterminacy with Non-Separable Utility," Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 93, pp. 118-143. CrossRef
  16. Brock, P. L. and S. J. Turnovsky. 1994. "The Dependent Economy Model with Both Traded and Non-traded Capital Goods," Review of International Economics, vol. 2, pp. 306-325. CrossRef
  17. Cooley, T., Hansen, G., and E. Prescott. 1995. "Equilibrium Business Cycles with Idle Resources and Variable Capacity Utilization," Economic Theory, vol. 6, pp. 35-49. CrossRef
  18. Epstein, Larry. 1983. "Stationary Cardinal Utility and Optimal Growth under Uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 31, pp. 133-152. CrossRef
  19. Farmer, R. and J. Guo. 1994. "Real Business Cycles and the Animal Spirits Hypothesis," Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 63, pp. 42-72. CrossRef
  20. Guo, J. and F. Sturzenegger. 1998. "Crazy Explanations of International Business Cycles," International Economic Review, vol. 39, no. 1, pp. 111-133. (February) CrossRef
  21. Hercowitz, Z. 1986. "On the Determination of the Optimal External Debt, The Case of Israel," Journal of International Money and Finance, vol. 5, pp. 315-334. CrossRef
  22. Lahiri, A. 2001. "Growth and Equilibrium Indeterminacy: The Role of Capital Mobility," Economic Theory, vol. 17, pp. 197-208. CrossRef
  23. Mendoza, E. 1991. "Real Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy," American Economic Review, vol. 81, pp. 797-818.
  24. Meng, Q. and A. Velasco. 2003. "Indeterminacy in a Small Open Economy with Endogenous Labor Supply," Economic Theory, vol. 22, pp. 661-669. CrossRef
  25. Meng, Q. 2004. "Market Imperfections and the Instability of Open Economies," Journal of International Economics, vol. 64, pp. 503-519. CrossRef
  26. Nishimura, K. and K. Shimomura. 2002. "Indeterminacy in a Dynamic Small Open Economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 27, pp. 271-281. CrossRef
  27. Obstfeld, M., and K. Rogoff. 1996. Foundations of International Macroeconomics.
  28. Perli, R. 1994. "Indeterminacy, Home Production, and the Business Cycle, A Calibrated Analysis," Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 41, pp. 279-298.
  29. Turnovsky, S. J. 1996. "Endogenous Growth in a Two-Sector Open Economy with Traded Capital and Non-traded Capital," Review of International Economics, vol. 4, pp. 300-321.
  30. Weder, M. 2001. "Indeterminacy in a Small Open Economy Ramsey Growth Model," Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 98, pp. 339-356. CrossRef