International Capital Mobility: A Panel Analysis for OECD Countries

Sangjoon Jun

doi:10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2010.14.1.213

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East Asian Economic Review Vol. 14, No. 1, 2010. pp. 197-235.

DOI https://dx.doi.org/10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2010.14.1.213

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International Capital Mobility: A Panel Analysis for OECD Countries

Author
Sangjoon Jun	Myongji University sjun1@kangnam.ac.kr

EAER is an open access journal distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license.

Abstract

This paper investigates the savings-investment relationship, also known as the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle, for a panel of 30 OECD countries over 1960-2006. It utilizes the recently-developed panel cointegration techniques to test and estimate the long-run equilibrium relationship between savings and investment. Investment and savings rates are found to have unit roots and to be cointegrated, based on 5 different panel unit root tests and 3 types of panel cointegration tests. The estimated coefficients on the savings rate employing CCR, DOLS, and FMOLS techniques, exhibit a declining trend over subsample periods. Moreover, the magnitude of the estimated saving-retention coefficients is much smaller than those reported by Feldstein and Horioka (1980), who did not consider the nonstationarity of data and the resulting spurious regression problem. It suggests that international capital mobility in the OECD economies has almost quadrupled over 1960-2006 and substantially increased in the 1990s and 2000s. The empirical findings in this paper provide evidence against the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in OECD countries over 1960-2006.

JEL classification: F3, E2, C3

Keywords

Capital Mobility, Panel unit root and Cointegration, Savings-investment Correlation

Language

Korean

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